Matteo Arnaldi vs Nicolas Alvarez Varona Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison
Wojtek Kolan
HEAD TO HEAD
M. Arnaldi vs N. Alvarez Varona
Matteo Arnaldi
ITA
w
l
w
l
l
w
w
w
l
l
1
Win
2
Played
1
Win
24
Age
24
-
Height
6'2" (188 cm)
63
C. Rank
342
30
Best Rank
219
0
Total Titles
0
0
YTD Titles
0
$2.5M
Career Money
$29.7K
-
Plays
Right-Handed
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ESP
w
l
l
l
w
l
w
w
w
l
1
Win
2
Played
1
Win
24
Age
24
-
Height
6'2" (188 cm)
63
C. Rank
342
30
Best Rank
219
0
Total Titles
0
0
YTD Titles
0
$2.5M
Career Money
$29.7K
-
Plays
Right-Handed
Head-to-head: Arnaldi 1 - 1 Varona
They have played 4 sets in total, with Matteo Arnaldi winning 2 and Nicolas Alvarez Varona winning 2. The last match between Matteo Arnaldi and Nicolas Alvarez Varona was at the Tenerife 2 Challenger, 04-02-2023, Round: SF, Surface: Hard, with Matteo Arnaldi getting the victory 6-3 6-4.
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Arnaldi | 1 |
| Varona | 1 |
Last 2 H2H Matches:
(SF) Tenerife 2 Challenger(02-04-23)
Matteo Arnaldi
6
6
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
3
4
(R1) M15 Getafe Madrid(10-15-19)
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
7
6
Matteo Arnaldi
5
3
M. Arnaldi vs N. A. Varona H2H Profile
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| $2,532,865 | Career Prize Money | $29,685 |
| 59.90% (239-160) | Career Total W/L | 56.86% (232-176) |
| 1 | Hard | 1 |
| 6 | Titles | 4 |
| 1 | Total H2H Matches | 1 |
| 45.45% (20-24) | YTD Win/Loss | 0% (0-0) |
M. Arnaldi vs N. A. Varona Match Preview:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Matteo Arnaldi has won 48.14% of points on their second serve, while Nicolas Alvarez Varona has won 46.32%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Matteo Arnaldi, in recent form, has won 44.30% of their opponent's second serve points, while Nicolas Alvarez Varona has won 47.53%. The same stats for first serve returns are 25.11% and 25.97% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Matteo Arnaldi has saved 61.71% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Nicolas Alvarez Varona has saved 57.32% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Matteo Arnaldi has won 46.94% of matches played (W/L 23/26), with Nicolas Alvarez Varona winning 56.90% (W/L 33/25) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Matteo Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 132/70), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 18/28). Nicolas Alvarez Varona has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 65% (W/L 94/60), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 46% (W/L 11/13).
- Player level: In the last year, Matteo Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 50.00% of matches (W/L 13/13), where as Nicolas Alvarez Varona has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 53.19% of matches (W/L 25/22). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Matteo Arnaldi winning 1 times and Nicolas Alvarez Varona being victorious 1 times. They have played 4 sets in total, with Matteo Arnaldi winning 2 and Nicolas Alvarez Varona winning 2.
- The last match between Matteo Arnaldi and Nicolas Alvarez Varona was at the Tenerife 2 Challenger, 04-02-2023, Round: SF, Surface: Hard, with Matteo Arnaldi getting the victory 6-3 6-4.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:31:32.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Matteo Arnaldi has played against opponents with an average rank of 62.08 while Nicolas Alvarez Varona has played against players with an average rank of 367.31.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Matteo Arnaldi has won 47% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Nicolas Alvarez Varona has won 35% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Matteo Arnaldi has converted 25.17% of breakpoint opportunities, and Nicolas Alvarez Varona has converted 34.92% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Matteo Arnaldi vs Nicolas Alvarez Varona Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
M. Arnaldi vs N. A. Varona H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | H2H Matches Won | 1 |
| 2 | Sets Won | 2 |
| 20 | Games Won | 20 |
| 11 | Aces (Total) | 6 |
| 9 | Total Double Faults | 6 |
| 1:31:32 | Average Match Time | 1:31:32 |
| 55% (79/143) | 1st Serve % | 63% (74/118) |
| 78% (62/79) | 1st Serve Win % | 73% (54/74) |
| 39% (25/64) | 2nd Serve Win % | 45% (20/44) |
| 40% (4/10) | Break Pts Won % | 31% (5/16) |
| 37% (44/118) | Return Points Win % | 39% (56/143) |
| 50% (1/2) | Best‑of‑3 Win % | 50% (1/2) |
| 100% (1/1) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 100% (1/1) |
| 0% (0/1) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 0% (0/1) |
| 0% (0/1) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (0/1) |
Recent Performance Stats
2nd Serve Win %: Arnaldi 51%, Varona 48%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Arnaldi 47%, Varona 51%.
Break Points Saved %: Arnaldi 65%, Varona 63%.
M. Arnaldi Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025 | ||||
Q1  Jacob FearnleyJ. Fearnley | L | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Erste Bank Open - Vienna - 20-10-2025 | ||||
R2  Alexander ZverevA. Zverev | L | 6-4 6-4 | ||
R1  Aleksandar KovacevicA. Kovacevic | W | 7-5 6-4 | ||
Q3  Tristan SchoolkateT. Schoolkate | W | 7-6(5) 6-3 | ||
Q1  Jesper De JongJ. De | W | 6-4 7-6(5) | ||
N. A. Varona Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 M25 Sabadell - 22-09-2025 | ||||
SF Lorenzo GiustinoL. Giustino | L | 4-3 ret. | ||
QF Pedro Vives MarcosP. Vives | W | 6-3 2-6 6-0 | ||
R2 John SperleJ. Sperle | W | 6-4 6-4 | ||
R1  Buvaysar GadamauriB. Gadamauri | W | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Targu Mures 2 Challenger - 15-09-2025 | ||||
R2  Gabi Adrian BoitanG. Adrian | L | 6-7(2) 6-3 6-4 | ||
M. Arnaldi vs N. A. Varona Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 59.90% (239/160) | YTD Win/Loss | 56.86% (232/176) |
| 57.91% (560/407) | Sets Win/Loss | 56.06% (527/413) |
| 52.58% (4842/4366) | Games Win/Loss | 52.61% (4661/4199) |
| 60.71% (85/55) | Hard Win/Loss | 61.04% (94/60) |
| 65.35% (132/70) | Clay Win/Loss | 55.22% (127/103) |
| 38.30% (18/29) | Indoor Hard W/L | 45.83% (11/13) |
| 40.00% (4/6) | Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) |
| 0.36 | Aces Per Game | 0.32 |
| 1621 | Aces Total | 1402 |
| 0.25 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.23 |
| 1126 | Total Double Faults | 1000 |
| 1:45:46 | Average Match Time | 1:33:46 |
| 301.4 | Average Opponent Rank | 453.59 |
| 59% (16488/28035) | 1st Serve % | 63% (15732/25047) |
| 68% (11281/16488) | 1st Serve Win % | 69% (10838/15732) |
| 50% (5794/11542) | 2nd Serve Win % | 48% (4461/9315) |
| 43% (1155/2712) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 44% (1109/2549) |
| 40% (10868/27336) | Return Points Win % | 40% (10113/24985) |
| 56.25% (18/14) | Slam W/L | 0% (0/0) |
| 54.39% (31/26) | Masters W/L | 0.00% (0/1) |
| 80.00% (4/1) | Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) |
| 48.57% (34/36) | Main Tour W/L | 58.33% (7/5) |
| 59.84% (73/49) | Challenger W/L | 46.37% (83/96) |
| 70.27% (78/33) | Futures W/L | 65.74% (142/74) |
| 61% (223/367) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 59% (228/388) |
| 43% (12/28) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 0% (0/7) |
| 58% (76/131) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 47% (61/129) |
| 51% (68/133) | Deciding Set Win % | 53% (70/131) |
| 83% (242/200) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 83% (232/192) |
| 17% (242/42) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 16% (232/37) |
| 24% (156/37) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 22% (175/38) |
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